South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da7c9ae1699e9d75349ed849585ba4328275c3e2715b08f717e4ea90c5f4df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 4,882$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.05 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 4,015$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 37c | 1,483$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.73 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,426$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 63c | 1,380$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Over | 74c | 1,206$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 918.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 19c | 549.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 14c | 477.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 19c | 171.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 18c | 160.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 28c | 149$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 146.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 68c | 143.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0055…b43bbacked Over | 72c | 127.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508f…5ec1backed Over | 72c | 123.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 41c | 117.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 41c | 111.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Over | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 28c | 104.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 73c | 104.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 68c | 101.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 92.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 13c | 85.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 79.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 77c | 73.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…9363backed Under | 22c | 72.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 66c | 70.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 22c | 67.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…7c1cbacked Over | 72c | 56.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 54.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 25c | 51.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 61c | 46.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 40.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 59c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 72c | 28.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 78c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 63c | 19.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Over | 77c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 67c | 15.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 67c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…58f2backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.