South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38c8128ab2532d91a4fffc27e94c8ee41324d9b93b65f83a3b01238d886166c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 7c | 2,238$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 33c | 698.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.84 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 29c | 479.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed Yes | 41c | 418.66$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…11aebacked Yes | 13c | 207$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 8c | 184.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 19cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 173.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 152.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 147$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 48c | 142.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 19c | 125.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 123.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 70c | 111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 31c | 96.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…108ebacked Yes | 22c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 85.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 12c | 82.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 33c | 67.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 69c | 63.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 63.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…b680backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 74c | 48.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…475bbacked Yes | 38c | 34.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 33.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 26.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 75c | 26.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 25.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 22.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 22.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 67c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?this page
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.