TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked No11c13,521$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.147125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c2,415$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.791,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c2,366$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.1928940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No10c2,269$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.825,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c2,244$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.981,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes70c1,293$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No62c1,210$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No13c1,141$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.344032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No7c985.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.042030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c967.7$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.83,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No14c863.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.771,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No35c781.2$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.993839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No7c707.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.571,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes37c698.78$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No36c681$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.164153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked No64c673.44$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43111565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.822560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No21c478.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No18c447.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes36c437$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1718452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No13c428$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No14c343$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No4c342.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.997055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c323.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No65c323.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked No66c304.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes35c299.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8410827.8%30 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No19c258.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes36c255.98$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.882839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes64c234.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed No28c234.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.814751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No15c198.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4213451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes36c168.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.981,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No61c162.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No63c149.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed No19c135$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.982462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No36c130.89$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.921,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.98153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No13c126.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3818742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Yes62c117.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.741675%12 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed No63c111$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.939447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes36c105$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5515651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No19c104.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.819953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed No61c98.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfe…9257backed Yes32c94.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No35c91.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.843542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No17c88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes74c85.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.776955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes64c81.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed No66c75.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No38c68.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.282544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No15c67.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.410654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No17c59.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Yes34c56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+86.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf255…3561backed Yes39c51.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes34c50.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.592313%3 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-64.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c48.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.291,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes35c48.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.525251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c46.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.342,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Yes74c44.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.394971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No61c41.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5929053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…10fcbacked No52c40.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes51c39.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.465843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes40c36.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d77…475bbacked Yes32c34.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked No60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No48c33.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0715247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes36c33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes39c31.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5116453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No64c31.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9938861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3836…b2ecbacked Yes41c31.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+97.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed No65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e72…09a8backed Yes77c28.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+122.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked No54c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ab…93c6backed No61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed No64c21.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.712969%20 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes76c21.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.174362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes72c18.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0644959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes76c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked No64c17.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.195862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.