South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbfd09b923f6fc4418f81d3086568c1f58470cbf2ab96c839e5293054e6be041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 2,263$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 2,109$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.16 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,586$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 523.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 506.01$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 242.83$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 207.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 60c | 149.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 70c | 148.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 136.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 100.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 40c | 100.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 99.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 84.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 74.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 42c | 70.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 39c | 64.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 50c | 58.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 57c | 56.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 54.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 49.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 50c | 47.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 34.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 68c | 33.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 61c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 33c | 31.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Under | 70c | 26.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 63c | 15.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.