South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e93057a6cb07751e85e02c8ef139e983dee6a557d6630d58a7a481a6a8755c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 69c | 1,451$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.79 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 1,071$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.93 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 1,003$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 859.41$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.24 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 59c | 848$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 330.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 316.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 203.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…da5fbacked Under | 58c | 194.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 173.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 97.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 65c | 94.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 55c | 54.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 32c | 50.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Over | 50c | 35.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 69c | 24.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Over | 68c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.