South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720cd2c00741c42a0bfb8db02dc47c5b3a847bb82dc4f91a913183230fc6687e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 2,190$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 64c | 1,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.81 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 62c | 1,409$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 1,373$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219c…fed6backed Over | 70c | 947.82$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 62c | 919.83$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.54 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 806.32$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 69c | 625.63$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 63c | 589.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 423.63$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked Over | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 62c | 395.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 310.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 300.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 37c | 285.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 224.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 217.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 38c | 202.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 186$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 70c | 104.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 69c | 97.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed Over | 63c | 81.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 64c | 78.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 76c | 53.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 53.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…1d36backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 38c | 49.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…1e90backed Over | 62c | 46.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Over | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…7b5ebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 67c | 29.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 64c | 29.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 38c | 26.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 77c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 60c | 23.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 64c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.