South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2d7c96dd89e0cea269a4541989760d3b022ae2a3405a93fe5d8559a4331efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 41c | 6,639$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.22 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,224$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 3,057$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 2,646$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 39c | 1,269$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 61c | 1,248$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.59 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 838.61$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.14 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 43c | 592.49$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 44c | 571.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.02 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 40c | 506.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 44c | 455.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.09 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 43c | 314.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 17c | 291.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 40c | 283.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 73c | 280.05$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 228.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 44c | 227.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 79c | 154.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 62c | 136.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 131.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 118$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 116.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 62c | 109.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 40c | 108.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…f5f5backed Yes | 51c | 105.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 42c | 98.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 58c | 66.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 25.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x67d4…80bfbacked Yes | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…7c61backed No | 60c | 25.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 62c | 25.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 61c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 58c | 21.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 57c | 21.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.