South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d0e8c58d5e9e8d8bdca9d24193e5695e9dec076e2852b6f89800a2ab3d87404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 11,388$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,482.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,999$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.72 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 4,227$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 37c | 3,127$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.33 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 3,125$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 47c | 2,999$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.7 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 2,688$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 64c | 1,712$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.43 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 64c | 1,560$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 1,476$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,298$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 35c | 1,176$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.45 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 63c | 1,125$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 1,021$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.73 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 35c | 919.94$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.98 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 871.51$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…be8bbacked Over | 56c | 542.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 486.92$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 32c | 429.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 32c | 363.56$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 57c | 360.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 36c | 277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Over | 24c | 220.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 65c | 165.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 40c | 158.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 141.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 135.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 127$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 14c | 125.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 55c | 122.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 50c | 119.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 111.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 32c | 83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 80.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 24c | 72.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 34c | 58.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 33c | 56.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…8e83backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 58c | 46.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Under | 46c | 43.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 62c | 40.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Over | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 54c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443f…4539backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 77c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 65c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 20.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 58c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 65c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.