TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x75bd…0288backed No54c26,410$14,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,161.928651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c19,207$9,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,320.9819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes51c19,000$9,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.9719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No31c12,512$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.8331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes45c10,720$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.8330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No30c6,268$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.430841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051f…88aebacked Yes53c5,567$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes42c4,584$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.4757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c4,557$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes56c4,420$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.185164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c4,213$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.231,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c3,912$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.031,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No3c3,799$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.779452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed No49c3,456$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No48c2,991$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes42c2,634$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.541,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No49c2,571$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.7916647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No35c2,472$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.6210819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No41c2,449$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.191,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes78c2,047$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.9140242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes52c1,717$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.3113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes48c1,671$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.85042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes54c1,523$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.739349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3451…a6e1backed Yes73c1,484$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.63875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c1,425$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1512541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes60c1,418$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3710249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes65c1,285$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.186827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,244$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.295,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72da…e2b1backed Yes60c1,238$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Yes79c1,200$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6524855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44499259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes51c1,140$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.75742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c1,118$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.623,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No48c1,084$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes52c1,071$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.938452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes53c999.97$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9811855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c988.68$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.241,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc674…dcd2backed Yes56c935.53$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes56c892.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+56.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.232560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes66c758.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.337841%32 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No43c706.75$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32916558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes42c698.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes58c667.26$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes52c638.19$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.192948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No46c633.06$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No39c599.98$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No48c570.29$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes56c568.8$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.276350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No46c562.37$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9527855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Yes69c554.14$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes53c538.05$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.367839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c534.56$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.591,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes53c528.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.33852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked No32c504.11$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.961020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.998554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes78c479.57$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…ab1bbacked No46c473.46$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes55c456.1$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c453.67$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.051,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No33c409.57$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9126745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No48c400.81$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.246955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3225…4885backed Yes60c400.15$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18819559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes66c396.69$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6615247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes69c386.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Yes49c380$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.522568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Yes63c362.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.872045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes58c326.71$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.820055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ff…81eabacked Yes54c325.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No48c324.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes52c301.92$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9211565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.022556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfc…5ae0backed Yes52c280.08$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes42c276.03$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No49c273.93$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2321345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c251.75$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.821,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c248$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1213545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes62c236.64$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.665867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No42c236.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No47c222.56$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.617055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No45c214.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.727060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c203$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.071,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes53c194.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.345552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Yes60c190.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c186$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4230754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c183.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.762,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.