TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes9c13,977$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.769452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes23c8,988$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.831216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes39c8,957$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.7228651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No49c5,258$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.7830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c3,644$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.181,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes24c2,505$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9611855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes24c1,707$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No50c1,546$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.8223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed Yes46c1,267$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.38650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No51c1,132$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.81,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,102$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.551,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes20c1,094$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5715247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes41c962.85$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.136946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No72c924.04$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.7324855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No76c905.71$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.467153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes59c867.4$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Yes59c757.15$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes60c666.33$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.686955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c666.07$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.281,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No72c583.5$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked No50c571.08$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.317839.7%31 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No47c551.89$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c500.35$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…ab1bbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c402.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.543,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c308$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8428851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No41c297.72$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.638337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No73c290.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.483357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No51c262.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.665042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes44c250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.188643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No72c240$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.215857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c238.77$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.981,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes35c232$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No56c219.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes29c212.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes60c197.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes36c195.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.676647%31 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes57c182.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa823…3327backed Yes29c172.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Yes59c170.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1358…d34abacked Yes38c162.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No54c134.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8410819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Yes24c125.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No48c113.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4120059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c106.66$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes30c104.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.26038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4341145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c99.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No51c94.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7419050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked No63c94.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes28c86.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No59c83.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.165957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No64c62.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked No58c62.46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.064858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…ec9ebacked Yes53c60.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c60.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed No46c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No72c59.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.795972.9%43 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No45c59.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No70c59.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0625044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed Yes17c59.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.171631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c56.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9413…d004backed Yes37c54.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155435.2%19 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed No54c51.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Yes39c51.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No78c50.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.083759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No71c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed No72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143969.2%27 W · 12 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3ae5…f868backed No77c49.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes29c44.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4413457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9213062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes53c34.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.418451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No54c34.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes60c33.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No48c31.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4630858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c1d…8c4dbacked No61c31.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No72c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7217255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No73c20.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4329053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No65c17.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.217437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4817960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.