TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leylah Fernandezof Ann Li, Leylah Fernandez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Ann Li37c12,471$4,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.8422242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Ann Li40c12,395$4,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951.51,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…7f37backed Leylah Fernandez62c8,478$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,244.665356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Ann Li10c7,450$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71144018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Leylah Fernandez63c7,309$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.058,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Leylah Fernandez58c4,080$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.476336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Leylah Fernandez61c3,362$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,311.2144754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Leylah Fernandez70c3,059$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e26…e4d1backed Ann Li6c3,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010436.5%38 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Leylah Fernandez69c2,994$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.788,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Leylah Fernandez75c2,440$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.055,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Leylah Fernandez61c2,100$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.9659348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ann Li1c2,099$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c87…98b1backed Ann Li1c2,015$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.152262.2%5 W · 221 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Ann Li38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76058734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Ann Li29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Ann Li38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Ann Li39c1,986$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.639438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ann Li24c1,962$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.5289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ann Li40c1,942$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.732,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Leylah Fernandez72c1,873$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.214,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2952…f50dbacked Ann Li40c1,867$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.091723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Ann Li38c1,810$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.0597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Leylah Fernandez61c1,745$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.5815862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ann Li41c1,687$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ann Li32c1,462$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.0172132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ann Li28c1,459$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.693,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Leylah Fernandez58c1,112$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.041,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Ann Li9c1,074$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.538236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Ann Li43c1,062$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.7422248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Leylah Fernandez64c1,058$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0129754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed Leylah Fernandez70c1,001$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.38461.9%52 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Ann Li38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efcebacked Leylah Fernandez59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Ann Li43c943.56$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.631,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Leylah Fernandez58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9421244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Leylah Fernandez64c825.17$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.997,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Ann Li39c795.26$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.154,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Leylah Fernandez67c783.75$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1335436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Ann Li39c741.08$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0250458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0149…2f04backed Leylah Fernandez80c741$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.22286.4%19 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ann Li22c730.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.532,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Leylah Fernandez73c727.29$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Ann Li9c656.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.882,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Leylah Fernandez79c600$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1284257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Leylah Fernandez57c584.1$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.167,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Ann Li5c583.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5831339.9%125 W · 188 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Ann Li38c569.66$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6350442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Ann Li42c540.84$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9954138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Ann Li42c524.1$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1218133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Leylah Fernandez61c521.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.567163.4%45 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Ann Li42c486.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3145445.4%206 W · 248 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Ann Li41c469.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.941,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Ann Li42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0410428.8%30 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Leylah Fernandez60c444$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.639055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ann Li22c440.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.31,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd156…0541backed Ann Li8c407.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da5…8b2ebacked Leylah Fernandez62c401.91$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.735863.8%37 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Leylah Fernandez70c401.39$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.849,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c1…92b8backed Leylah Fernandez74c387.31$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Ann Li27c364.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.497021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Ann Li7c360.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.594245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Leylah Fernandez61c350.79$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8120338.4%78 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Ann Li9c340.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.338729.9%26 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Leylah Fernandez60c336.93$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7760355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Ann Li12c321.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.927810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Leylah Fernandez61c320.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8768350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Leylah Fernandez63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.851,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Ann Li44c308.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6317649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Ann Li39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11737230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Ann Li39c286.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.092,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c8…6eccbacked Ann Li10c283.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Ann Li8c283.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6366831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Leylah Fernandez61c283.15$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4354547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Ann Li39c281.76$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4225245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ann Li15c278.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.043,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Leylah Fernandez77c274.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.491,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Ann Li37c272.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7620844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Ann Li38c259.96$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.786933.3%23 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Ann Li38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2873458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Ann Li26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Leylah Fernandez61c249.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.59640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Leylah Fernandez59c247.56$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.528552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Leylah Fernandez60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ann Li41c236.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4451243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Leylah Fernandez61c235.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7815734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Leylah Fernandez79c225.6$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.384,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ann Li39c217$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Ann Li23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6983823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Ann Li39c193.64$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5220040%80 W · 120 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Leylah Fernandez60c193.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.391,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Leylah Fernandez60c193.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.391,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Leylah Fernandez74c190.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.976,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Leylah Fernandez62c179.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leylah Fernandez71c179.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.267,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Leylah Fernandez58c175.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9631039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Ann Li39c174.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4942344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Leylah Fernandez62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8943449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ae…3a05backed Leylah Fernandez58c157.38$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14344.2%19 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ann Li7c156.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.932,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.