Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2102e9f3338048e719821d1f3359748a7a2ee6025569bc201827191163c8a04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 3,904$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.57 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 54c | 1,333$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.74 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 1,010$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 24c | 982.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 718.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 29c | 662.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 505.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 446.22$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 60c | 434.68$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.04 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 46c | 222$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 51c | 134.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 102.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 52c | 97.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 78c | 96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 84.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 52c | 60.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 59.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 58.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 53.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 50.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 46c | 50.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 58c | 49.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yes | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 27.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 40c | 25.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…c817backed Yes | 76c | 23.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…7dfcbacked No | 59c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 78c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.