TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde96…7dfc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanovabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$9.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$89.61
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Samsonova (+1.5)backed Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Iva Jovicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$56.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Qinwen Zheng vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+325.7%+$71.94
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Maria Timofeevabacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marin Cilic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+201.5%+$44.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$12.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.17
Santos: Nick Hardt vs Fermin Tentibacked Fermin Tenti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borgesbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Madrid: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$47.44
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
Menorca: Felipe Virgili Berini vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Felipe Virgili Berini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.64
Menorca: Sandro Kopp vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
San Luis Potosi: Facundo Mena vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.22
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.23
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.34
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.5
Counter-Strike: Change The Game vs Last Bullet (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Group Abacked Last Bullet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.86
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Bbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$69.47
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$450.5
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$53.59
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Saski Baskonia vs. Basket Zaragozabacked Basket Zaragoza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.