Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32293a67f55d0b45c43fda779a82b1a7041d8275c1af3c5c45cce70b49cdf5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof MODUS, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed MODUS | 46c | 10,767$4,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.25 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 9,900$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.1 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MODUS | 33c | 8,014$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.38 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 7,448$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 6,821$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.42 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…8d31backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 6,530$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 32c | 2,974$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.88 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 2,700$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 45c | 1,754$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.76 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,447$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.45 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 1,287$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed MODUS | 46c | 1,272$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 1,191$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 1,140$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.98 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MODUS | 32c | 1,089$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MODUS | 34c | 1,020$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.87 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 65c | 965.11$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 35c | 912$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MODUS | 38c | 877.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed MODUS | 46c | 849.32$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…2680backed MODUS | 45c | 650$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MODUS | 31c | 612.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MODUS | 37c | 606.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked MODUS | 31c | 587.74$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 568.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MODUS | 37c | 545.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 528.65$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 515.1$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.98 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MODUS | 49c | 514.64$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.17 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MODUS | 38c | 485.4$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.54 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed MODUS | 19c | 450.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MODUS | 32c | 427$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 30c | 423.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…9d48backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 419.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed MODUS | 17c | 417$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 399.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked MODUS | 46c | 392$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MODUS | 69c | 350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked MODUS | 43c | 343.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked MODUS | 32c | 332.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 331.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed MODUS | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 325.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 40c | 319.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed MODUS | 20c | 313$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed MODUS | 20c | 313$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 312.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MODUS | 18c | 308.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MODUS | 31c | 306.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed MODUS | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 289.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 286.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 275.93$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MODUS | 17c | 270$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS | 20c | 266$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed MODUS | 44c | 250.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed MODUS | 46c | 248$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MODUS | 12c | 247.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed MODUS | 19c | 245$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed MODUS | 45c | 227.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 224.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked MODUS | 23c | 219.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…038fbacked MODUS | 35c | 217.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MODUS | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked MODUS | 20c | 201.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed MODUS | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 190.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 190.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked MODUS | 30c | 178.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked MODUS | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed MODUS | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed MODUS | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…9213backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MODUS | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MODUS | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed MODUS | 21c | 146.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed MODUS | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…62c8backed MODUS | 21c | 145.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 138$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MODUS | 46c | 135.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 134.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed MODUS | 46c | 134.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed MODUS | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 127.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 126.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MODUS | 20c | 112.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bb…4066backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 109.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MODUS | 31c | 108.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 104.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 103.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: MODUS vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Game Handicap: MODUS (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)MODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.