CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f461fbbd6bdaa7e7e2d1a8a15b49193f8cc7d6fd34332eb2ca7a3075cbd2d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 15,025$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,821.77 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 11,267$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.49 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Johnny Speeds | 50c | 10,853$5,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,396.21 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 10,783$5,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 7,188$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.12 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 5,909$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.05 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 5,806$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.17 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 3,142$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 2,057$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 2,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 1,445$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.07 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 1,319$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.5 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 1,285$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 1,099$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.17 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 1,083$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.53 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Johnny Speeds | 53c | 1,069$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.06 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Johnny Speeds | 40c | 1,039$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 999$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 929.23$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.34 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 908.55$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.55 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 858.88$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.09 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 699.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 646.68$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 628.08$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.04 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 626.44$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.86 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Johnny Speeds | 26c | 580$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 489.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.45 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 436.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.89 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 432.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 430.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…ff8cbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 410.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 400$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 355.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.09 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 346.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 308.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.66 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…4fefbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 287.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 281.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Johnny Speeds | 39c | 256.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 240.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 236.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 233.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Eternal Fire | 78c | 201.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 201.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…d305backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…8e5dbacked Johnny Speeds | 29c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Johnny Speeds | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Johnny Speeds | 41c | 195.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Johnny Speeds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 132.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 127.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…7dfcbacked Johnny Speeds | 47c | 126.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 125.38$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 121.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Johnny Speeds | 22c | 113.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 107.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 107.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 105.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 104.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…d68fbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 103.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 102.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Johnny Speeds | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Eternal Fire | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 97.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 97.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 94.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 92.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 89.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 43c | 89.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 87.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Johnny Speeds | 39c | 83.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 75.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 74.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…0d15backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 68.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…bad3backed Johnny Speeds | 27c | 63.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 61.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 59.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 53.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.