CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba05b50e999c1a4063c52dc7aadc0bb4a27cebb18dcf83b98ed78423ecec58f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 1,731$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.58 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 49c | 1,380$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 1,136$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.46 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Eternal Fire | 51c | 1,059$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.56 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 985.94$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 673.72$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.41 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 492.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 403.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 362.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Johnny Speeds | 27c | 240$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 222.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 202$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Johnny Speeds | 46c | 156$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 143.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 19c | 135.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 132$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Johnny Speeds | 26c | 125.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 106.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 26c | 102.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Johnny Speeds | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 95.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 81.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 30c | 71.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…2a98backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 63.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 43.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…e62fbacked Johnny Speeds | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 40.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 40.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…b794backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 32.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 23.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 21.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.