Lol · resolved market
LoL: GLORE vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a2034a02a37e4c4c5b1d362f7cbf404da6b4f366345dc575cff7caaaa1947c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof GLORE, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GLORE | 21c | 1,263$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.71 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed GLORE | 21c | 1,213$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLORE | 13c | 1,073$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed devils.one | 79c | 939.51$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed GLORE | 12c | 681.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed devils.one | 77c | 604.86$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked devils.one | 78c | 591.23$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GLORE | 14c | 556.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GLORE | 12c | 529.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed devils.one | 78c | 413.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed GLORE | 31c | 314$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed devils.one | 77c | 263.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked GLORE | 19c | 203.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed GLORE | 22c | 202.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GLORE | 18c | 191.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed GLORE | 19c | 162.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GLORE | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed devils.one | 76c | 135.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…3025backed devils.one | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 124 | 71%88 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked devils.one | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed GLORE | 14c | 112.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GLORE | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed GLORE | 23c | 100.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed GLORE | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed devils.one | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed devils.one | 52c | 92.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked devils.one | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GLORE | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed GLORE | 16c | 71.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked devils.one | 71c | 66.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked GLORE | 24c | 52.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked devils.one | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked GLORE | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed devils.one | 78c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…7dfcbacked devils.one | 76c | 38.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed devils.one | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed devils.one | 77c | 20.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked devils.one | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: DV1 (-1.5) vs GLORE (+1.5)devils.one won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerdevils.one won
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.