Lol · resolved market
LoL: GLORE vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9497a096ec4415b7366467831855c63bfc29b6f43f4effb00d190907666f7b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof GLORE, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GLORE | 25c | 2,625$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.52 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GLORE | 26c | 702.23$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked devils.one | 79c | 664.16$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked devils.one | 78c | 528.94$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed GLORE | 20c | 507.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed devils.one | 69c | 402.08$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked GLORE | 29c | 398.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed devils.one | 71c | 390$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed devils.one | 64c | 380.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GLORE | 29c | 371.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GLORE | 21c | 354.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked devils.one | 70c | 289.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked devils.one | 76c | 268.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed GLORE | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked devils.one | 64c | 250$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed GLORE | 29c | 231.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GLORE | 19c | 207.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked devils.one | 79c | 173.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed devils.one | 60c | 127.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed devils.one | 79c | 125.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed devils.one | 71c | 112.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked devils.one | 63c | 72.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed devils.one | 68c | 65.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed devils.one | 76c | 65.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed devils.one | 59c | 60.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed devils.one | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked devils.one | 79c | 47.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed devils.one | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed GLORE | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed devils.one | 72c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GLORE | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: DV1 (-1.5) vs GLORE (+1.5)devils.one won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasondevils.one won
- LoL: GLORE vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.