Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Felipe Virgili Berini vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe2e96922b9dc8ff2bb8753a9f4f5cead7660d3bee86858379692af88e9f7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Felipe Virgili Berini, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 1c | 17,901$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 0c | 6,972$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 5c | 4,801$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 5c | 4,506$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 4c | 3,811$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 2,015$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 4c | 1,808$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 1,415$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 1,085$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 3c | 1,017$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…7dfcbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 976.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 830.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 3c | 746.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 4c | 565.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 8c | 509.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 3c | 485.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…35a0backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 5c | 401$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 7c | 372.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 3c | 322$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…586dbacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 5c | 308$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…df70backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 4c | 282.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Felipe Virgili Berini | 5c | 241.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 7c | 226.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 6c | 191.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Felipe Virgili Berini | 10c | 105.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.