Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b08300dc5cb6940cd9012c0a6ce4dd89a2def685399f43c8ab8474d0e3805fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 838.46$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 480.15$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 16c | 294.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 285.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 76c | 211.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 28c | 178.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 35c | 115.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 58.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed Yes | 31c | 49.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 38.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 66c | 28.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.