TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$583,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$581,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes51c436,148$223,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212,171.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No48c101,280$48,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,798.055257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c64,767$31,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,987.0962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No48c56,912$27,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,317.995642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No49c36,000$17,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,639.983256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c19,846$9,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,525.993423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c19,624$8,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,592.621,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No47c12,975$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.282759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,879.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes49c10,085$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,185.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No50c10,043$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5001650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c9,416$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.821,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No54c6,371$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.796446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c5,649$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.978254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes49c5,078$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.624252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No48c5,043$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes48c5,038$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6315651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No56c4,031$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No49c3,841$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c3,797$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c3,433$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.4618351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No49c3,200$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5686347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c3,152$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.9787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No51c3,127$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.9422745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No51c3,024$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.7712738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c2,714$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.2923250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No42c2,536$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.9833145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.933053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No51c2,480$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.9516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No49c2,400$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1764548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c2,344$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c2,141$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No48c2,136$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.97520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,837$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7312647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No49c1,793$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.363135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No51c1,657$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.078143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No49c1,604$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.083250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c1,503$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.8952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6865151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5883737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5885151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5393336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes46c1,075$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58010145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No49c1,075$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.752437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.542766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No49c960$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.44447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No52c876.12$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.587741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes48c874.84$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes52c820$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.63148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No50c799.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.992944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No51c799.92$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9612957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed No49c750$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No51c736$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.363948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No49c729.17$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.638150.6%41 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3436654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes61c686.37$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.783847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No60c666$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.63745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No49c650$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c616$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2945251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No58c561$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.387060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes78c506.83$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.881656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Yes47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No50c500$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.5712238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No48c499$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes41c484$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.56540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No49c480$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No49c450$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.316448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7822927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Yes51c403.14$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes68c392.9$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes67c383$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.792254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No51c370.76$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked No49c362.85$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed No53c354.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c340.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Yes62c340.5$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes77c334.47$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.931450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked Yes47c330$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+152.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.85251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.