Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897e776248401c05c3f5aa403f3360000ca88f8eb8cd68aca9148939fcf408d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 26c | 19,583$5,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,091.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 10,571$7,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 74c | 3,701$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 2,223$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 74c | 2,001$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 26c | 1,748$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.58 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 74c | 1,520$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,434$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.82 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 26c | 1,269$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 1,205$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.06 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 74c | 1,122$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed No | 74c | 1,122$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked No | 74c | 1,122$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…e723backed No | 74c | 972.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed No | 74c | 722.85$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 714.41$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 455.32$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 400.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 26c | 389.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 74c | 318.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 229.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 21c | 204.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 23c | 164.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 26c | 159.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 18c | 135.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 75c | 131.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 119.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 119$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 26c | 113.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 34c | 111.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 24c | 102.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 99.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 26c | 99.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 74c | 93.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 71c | 90.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 28c | 85.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 69.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 68.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 63.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 74c | 52.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 24c | 50.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 40c | 42.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 37.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 74c | 30.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 74c | 27.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 74c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 21.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 72c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 73c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked No | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.