Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2d6a5144c5d1cbf5fe88e6fa958b16f87f94a6fd65d8c091a4fb550162aeaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 73c | 10,907$7,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,081$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 25c | 1,678$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,495$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 1,440$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.75 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 1,370$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 73c | 1,368$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 1,362$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 1,199$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,183$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,158$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.44 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 1,060$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 908.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 892.49$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 24c | 773.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 714.2$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 649.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 516.36$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 433.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 24c | 432.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 27c | 368.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Yes | 28c | 330$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 266.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…e4dabacked Yes | 4c | 232.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…1daabacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 18c | 148.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 133$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 27c | 116.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 104.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed No | 73c | 101.68$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 76c | 97.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 77c | 90.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 28c | 89.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed No | 79c | 89.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 25c | 80.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes | 26c | 77.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 71.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 62.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 23c | 58.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…a6e8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…ad44backed Yes | 26c | 52.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 50.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a39ebacked Yes | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Yes | 25c | 40.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…4414backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x818e…a1e3backed No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed No | 75c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 80c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked No | 74c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 13.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.