Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24cda9c4041f46ee271034f9d9ee9ca54fdae72608a91b0316f35c75e6722d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 46c | 19,066$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,768.71 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 46c | 4,272$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.39 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 3,571$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.07 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,403$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.47 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 54c | 3,200$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 47c | 2,150$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.5 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,992$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.92 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 1,592$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.13 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 18c | 1,429$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.78 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.62 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 54c | 1,069$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.32 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 49c | 911.15$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 31c | 781.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.37 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 47c | 689.82$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.4 | 156 | 76.9%120 W · 36 L | +32.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 60c | 670$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.11 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked No | 55c | 639.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 55c | 617.82$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 592.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.51 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 54c | 592$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 53c | 582.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.73 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 70c | 520.19$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.15 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 54c | 460$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 49c | 444$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 20c | 443.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.18 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 19c | 435$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.35 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 19c | 435$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.35 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 425.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 399.64$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 40c | 381.96$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.29 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 358.28$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 45c | 331.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 46c | 320$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 54c | 296.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 257.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 253.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 242.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 240.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 55c | 211$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 196$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 69c | 193$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 184.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 30c | 161.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 61c | 159.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 53c | 159.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 156.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 18c | 141.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 135.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 28c | 130.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 62c | 129.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 112.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 53c | 108.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 56c | 108.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 19c | 107.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 70c | 103.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 93.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 48c | 89.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 74c | 87.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 76.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 55c | 73.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 67c | 70.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 19c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…37c8backed No | 28c | 62.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 37c | 58.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked Yes | 52c | 58.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 54c | 51.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.