Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x954799ac5d4c9484184ad4bcbc455971708db9fd8af7f32d4c4cee71fcb50f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,338,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,623,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,338,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb5…c494backed Yes | 48c | 834,534$398,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398,577.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 52c | 131,630$68,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,182.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 52c | 130,662$67,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,717.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 70,492$36,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,835.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 67,896$35,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,077.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 52c | 63,288$32,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,378.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 52c | 56,058$29,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,908.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 55,000$29,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,849.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 42,280$22,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,978.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 39,341$30,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,302.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 52c | 31,758$16,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,243.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 52c | 20,888$10,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.24 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 52c | 19,603$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,409.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 17,456$10,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,113.02 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 52c | 12,480$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 11,349$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.34 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 10,838$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.34 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 47c | 8,054$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.45 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b43…f54bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked No | 52c | 5,361$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 53c | 5,257$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.68 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a15…dbacbacked No | 54c | 4,737$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 53c | 4,340$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…c741backed Yes | 18c | 3,560$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 46c | 3,025$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 52c | 2,957$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.47 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 2,838$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.54 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 53c | 2,829$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.63 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 2,771$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 2,548$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.6 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…9cefbacked Yes | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…f1d8backed No | 53c | 2,398$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 52c | 2,379$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.93 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 53c | 2,239$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 2,052$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.2 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…791fbacked No | 54c | 1,527$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yes | 48c | 1,400$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 45c | 1,376$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked No | 52c | 1,219$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 54c | 1,200$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.16 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,093$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 1,082$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.69 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 991$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 947.51$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.57 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 900.03$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.72 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 896.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 53c | 849.05$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 53c | 754.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 53c | 649.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.99 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 28c | 607.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 577.39$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed No | 53c | 560.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 539.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 53c | 520.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.34 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 383.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 365$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 348.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed No | 58c | 344.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked No | 51c | 340.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 52c | 340$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 53c | 329$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 53c | 319.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 75c | 285.58$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed No | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 270.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 46c | 260.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 16c | 214.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.