MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe96ba7619f85913413022e9cc89d4b93d024d18f9e1da9689a0075b7f86315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof New York Mets, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 52,853$25,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,610.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 58c | 35,258$20,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,544.61 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 30,125$18,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,835.73 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed New York Mets | 39c | 21,925$8,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550.82 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 40c | 17,482$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 52c | 14,074$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,318.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 10,606$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…a414backed New York Mets | 47c | 10,000$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Mets | 37c | 9,818$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.96 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 8,209$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.88 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed New York Mets | 52c | 5,100$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked New York Mets | 51c | 4,823$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.9 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,433$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.97 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,243$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 32c | 3,928$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 52c | 3,764$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.19 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,629$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.39 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Mets | 9c | 3,627$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Mets | 46c | 3,139$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.4 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,753$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.86 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,679$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.83 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,407$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Mets | 32c | 2,244$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.47 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed New York Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,572$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.07 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed New York Mets | 51c | 1,490$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.88 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,463$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,423$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,280$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 29c | 1,245$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,218$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.23 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,177$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.63 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Mets | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed New York Mets | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 995$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.21 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 971$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.21 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 966$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets | 51c | 959.53$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.36 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 51c | 955.93$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 45c | 904.11$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.61 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 890.56$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…f011backed New York Mets | 60c | 760$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed New York Mets | 34c | 757.43$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 40c | 693.76$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 15c | 660.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed New York Mets | 51c | 654.83$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 31c | 618$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed New York Mets | 52c | 549.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 549.78$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 543.96$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 30c | 531.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed New York Mets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 45c | 498.35$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked New York Mets | 26c | 488.31$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked New York Mets | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 51c | 465$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed New York Mets | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed New York Mets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 388.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked New York Mets | 8c | 373.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 362.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 336.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 30c | 336.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 332.24$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 50c | 313$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed New York Mets | 51c | 311.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 311.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 306.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 301.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked New York Mets | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 295.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 283.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 280.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 52c | 278.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Mets | 48c | 246.86$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…c4c6backed New York Mets | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 230.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 50c | 229.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 211.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed New York Mets | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 205.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Mets | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed New York Mets | 50c | 199.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed New York Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked New York Mets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.