MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6b80fd476d211ebd052844fa0e7848fb33f6d7ab5a3a38809e3edc01a875ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Under | 50c | 285,768$141,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,302.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 180,000$89,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,399.14 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 53c | 153,622$81,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,831.91 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 151,839$72,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,580.97 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 65,814$32,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,867.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 46c | 36,170$16,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,638.2 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 15,491$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Over | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 10,759$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.04 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 9,804$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…afe6backed Under | 52c | 6,330$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 46c | 5,437$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.98 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,282$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…6257backed Under | 52c | 4,469$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Under | 54c | 3,295$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.19 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,741$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 49c | 2,249$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.07 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 2,118$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 2,104$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.6 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 2,007$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.49 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 1,986$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 1,959$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.05 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Over | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,295$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 50c | 1,253$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.1 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…0d75backed Over | 46c | 1,228$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…ba85backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 48c | 822.8$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 673.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 593.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.59 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…88a4backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 500$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…bdc7backed Over | 47c | 483.41$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 51c | 463.81$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 40c | 402.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 362$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Over | 42c | 339.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 49c | 275.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 52c | 213$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Under | 52c | 208$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 199.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 52c | 188.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 46c | 188.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Over | 53c | 170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 49c | 164.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 49c | 163.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 48c | 148.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 48c | 140.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 49c | 136.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 135.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 128.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 125.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 106.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 35c | 105.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Over | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Over | 52c | 94.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…bf00backed Over | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f793backed Over | 49c | 79.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 57c | 69.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…f675backed Over | 47c | 63.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 47c | 63.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 49c | 61.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 49c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…138ebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…1e48backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Over | 49c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 49c | 47.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.