Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cb68f40296cc804cf7d3fd7533d9b30d1de01c705cc367d397af343105cdf8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 52c | 69,562$35,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,991.91 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 48c | 12,156$5,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.25 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 48c | 11,458$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 10,975$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.81 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 49c | 5,275$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…f0bcbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 45c | 4,651$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.8 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,993$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,742$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Yes | 48c | 3,625$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 3,443$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.79 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 1,961$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.95 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 1,733$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 1,419$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.51 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 49c | 1,414$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 1,378$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.31 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,193$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Yes | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,108$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.98 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 49c | 1,100$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.76 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 48c | 946.13$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.99 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 823$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.01 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 757$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.81 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 65c | 714.41$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.53 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 515$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 507.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 48c | 486.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.94 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 21c | 470.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.77 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 353.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 29c | 345.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 47c | 342.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 65c | 270$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 50c | 269.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 56c | 254$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 51c | 239.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 42c | 236.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…08cdbacked Yes | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 222.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 43c | 218.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 36c | 194.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 191.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 27c | 181.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Yes | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 48c | 160.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 58c | 140.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 135.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 44c | 134.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 130.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 80c | 118.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 48c | 102.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 44c | 94.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 48c | 91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 23c | 87.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 42c | 80.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 29c | 79.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 54c | 79.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 65c | 75.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 49c | 72.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 47c | 71.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 50c | 62.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Yes | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 52c | 52.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 46c | 52.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 73c | 52.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 51.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 51c | 47.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 46.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Yes | 48c | 40.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 42c | 40.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.