TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes28c60,000$16,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,794.839649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c21,633$15,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.2877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No72c10,776$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.2823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c10,035$7,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.5597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No73c5,712$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.1119560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c4,637$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c4,065$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.611,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No78c2,826$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.3214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c1,813$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes16c1,610$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes28c1,134$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0718651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c1,032$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19013228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No79c670.89$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c512.97$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No75c389$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.533253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c350$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9735149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes20c321.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.097726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes21c318.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.533636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No72c301.04$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2910755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No72c290.63$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4713158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No74c270.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7412751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes23c262.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3810644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3946…b565backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c232.01$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes26c215.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5614359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa063…338fbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c189.59$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes29c155.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c146.46$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c146.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8348344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c123.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No72c122.16$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.220249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes19c116.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42a…3078backed Yes27c108.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No72c101.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No74c98.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.559268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No72c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.449457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes22c84.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.654050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes32c81.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e6…6779backed Yes27c74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No72c61.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.056553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c61$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.226150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes27c53.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.483259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No72c52.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed No73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0914560.7%88 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c47.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes27c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No73c45.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No77c43.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…388ebacked No74c41.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeacf…ed1dbacked Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.216955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.213461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c37.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ff…6465backed No76c34.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No73c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c33.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9818655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked No79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.651650%8 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No74c31.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.118868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.415259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No72c27.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.772875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No75c26.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5216656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No73c21.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.834369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No73c20.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.673857.9%22 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.26155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68469%58 W · 26 L+11.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c18.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No76c16.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.213557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9966backed No73c14.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…a8a1backed No74c14.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781464.3%9 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.