TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaca0…9966

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+199.9%+$23.99
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yaobacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$14.22
Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$7.54
Wuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26%+$5.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Federico Bondioli vs Emilio Navabacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$32.94
Ostrava: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nerman Faticbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borgesbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Huzhou: Rada Zolotareva vs Despina Papamichailbacked Rada Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$2.92
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Madrid Open: Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lysbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$4.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$7.88
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$5.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.