South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa7b6cb78ac082b2c0c3bdb83221ce6b3a6cb92a78fe231892a3f7960cffce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 43c | 111,601$47,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,966.21 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Under | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 23,256$13,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.08 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 5,787$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 5,379$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 4,161$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.17 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,933$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 2,092$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,967$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.48 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,620$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.13 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 980.32$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.54 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 57c | 525.02$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 495.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 441.22$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 30c | 360$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 39c | 317$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 41c | 314.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 57c | 305$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 214.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 33c | 167.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 57c | 132.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 125.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8540backed Over | 41c | 105.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 57c | 96.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 83.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 41c | 65.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 43.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 61c | 43.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…9b98backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 61c | 39.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9966backed Under | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 57c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 59c | 34.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…9419backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under | 57c | 28.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 57c | 26.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Under | 76c | 24.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Under | 57c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 75c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)CA Paranaense won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)CA Paranaense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.