Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190d3aa5f729043395d45839513d3396c4cdc57f2b65226e291b8f0d5834b771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 5,322$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.55 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 47c | 4,219$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.24 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 3,976$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,013$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 46c | 1,424$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked Under | 35c | 899.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…de49backed Over | 65c | 851.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Under | 46c | 841.78$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 830.4$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 67c | 726.61$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 38c | 381.4$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 363.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 65c | 362.61$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.29 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Under | 53c | 323.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 323.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 57c | 253.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 156.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 41c | 135.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 132.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 128.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 72c | 107.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 66c | 104.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 31c | 103.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 99.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 56c | 95.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 55c | 85.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 56c | 76.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 72.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 55c | 71.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 55.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 53.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 50.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 39c | 48.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 53c | 43.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 53c | 43.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 55c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 54c | 39.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 54c | 38.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 65c | 34.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 53c | 34.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 53c | 33.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 53c | 32.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Over | 55c | 26.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…4573backed Over | 59c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9966backed Under | 53c | 25.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8c…f83cbacked Under | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.