Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800538c92acd96315811a771e8cb65426612f5284e001f3b8f8dc958a695c7f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Casa Pia ACof Gil Vicente FC, Casa Pia AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Gil Vicente FC | 23c | 143.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Casa Pia AC | 69c | 141.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Gil Vicente FC | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Gil Vicente FC | 32c | 59.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gil Vicente FC | 31c | 55.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Gil Vicente FC | 30c | 53.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Gil Vicente FC | 30c | 53.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Casa Pia AC | 77c | 50.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Casa Pia AC | 71c | 46.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Casa Pia AC | 71c | 42.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Casa Pia AC | 67c | 39.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Casa Pia AC | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Casa Pia AC | 68c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.