Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1aac4dbd33144d9e17f108879dd6be2b7e813a1eb032abed6ca5d949c39042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 3,251$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 21c | 2,896$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.5 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 1,413$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 1,273$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 1,160$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 902.31$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 40c | 608.57$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.94 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 596.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.16 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 76c | 588.46$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 34c | 504.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 462.87$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.29 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Under | 55c | 460.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 76c | 453$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 394.43$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 24c | 329.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 34c | 300.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 17c | 299.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 34c | 279.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 35c | 275.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 77c | 274.49$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 211.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 63c | 183.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 22c | 152.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 35c | 145.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed Over | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 111.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 91.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 75.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 70.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 63.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 41c | 58.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 31c | 53.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 76c | 52.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 43.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 42c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 71c | 23.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 77c | 18.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…e508backed Under | 78c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 75c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Casa Pia AC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Casa Pia AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.