Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e3eb20f15e1a8fd8436e174cbed65a1bb8da073b3c76f4dfa6d9b295b495207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 7,368$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.44 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 31c | 3,166$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,127$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,058$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.24 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 41c | 999.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 69c | 888$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 69c | 699.97$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 669.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 640.46$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.11 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 38c | 519.27$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…896cbacked Yes | 74c | 388.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 318.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Yes | 36c | 311.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.11 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 67c | 297.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 294.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 33c | 283.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 45c | 190.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 35c | 173.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 65c | 167$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 164.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 34c | 140.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 132$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…363dbacked Yes | 34c | 114.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 110.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 68c | 105.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 40c | 99.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 69c | 98.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 55c | 83.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 82.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 36c | 81.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 27c | 80.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 30c | 80.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 69c | 76.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 43c | 69.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 22c | 67.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 30c | 65.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 66c | 64.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 31c | 59.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 52c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 50.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 42c | 47.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 69c | 41.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 55c | 41.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 43c | 39.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 38.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Yes | 31c | 35.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 31.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…e263backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaa…06c6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 70c | 28.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 20.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9966backed No | 71c | 18.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 78c | 12.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.