Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031f8652b3d34a949c3ce26bfe2dcaf0b1959ffbb4d767dd4115cc8f563348a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,168$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 26c | 735.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 433.47$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 18c | 299$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 14c | 263.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Yes | 24c | 202.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 31c | 166.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 25c | 135.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 29c | 101.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked No | 67c | 101$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 35c | 99.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 81.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 72.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 33c | 45.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes | 24c | 41.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 30c | 40.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 39.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 36c | 36.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed No | 78c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 66c | 30.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 72c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 24.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 62c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 66c | 20.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 78c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.