TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuxi: Rio Noguchi vs Petr Bar Biryukov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rio Noguchiof Rio Noguchi, Petr Bar Biryukov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1de3…a1fabacked Petr Bar Biryukov21c36,270$7,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,565.091526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rio Noguchi79c14,644$11,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.169,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rio Noguchi79c14,151$11,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.597,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Petr Bar Biryukov17c4,383$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.584,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rio Noguchi80c3,548$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.522,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c2,304$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.744,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Petr Bar Biryukov18c2,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9819835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Petr Bar Biryukov31c1,923$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Rio Noguchi80c1,700$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Rio Noguchi65c1,548$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.6618462%114 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Petr Bar Biryukov18c1,205$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2127248.2%131 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Petr Bar Biryukov10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Rio Noguchi65c926.15$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.151,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rio Noguchi79c717.08$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.591,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Rio Noguchi70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.286264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Petr Bar Biryukov28c679.03$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Rio Noguchi64c620.4$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.49560%57 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Rio Noguchi65c612.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1415339.2%60 W · 93 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Petr Bar Biryukov29c599$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7814225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Rio Noguchi65c520.94$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4417138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Petr Bar Biryukov37c499.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.542,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482f…7504backed Petr Bar Biryukov21c477.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.236068.3%41 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Rio Noguchi65c461.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.532,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19c…512cbacked Rio Noguchi66c457.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rio Noguchi79c377.9$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.619,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Petr Bar Biryukov3c361.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7428348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Petr Bar Biryukov18c331.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015938.4%61 W · 98 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Petr Bar Biryukov16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Rio Noguchi65c308.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0946562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rio Noguchi71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.832,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c290$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.534549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Petr Bar Biryukov35c280.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.131,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Petr Bar Biryukov7c268.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Petr Bar Biryukov38c264.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Petr Bar Biryukov15c260.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.145,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rio Noguchi79c251.26$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.766,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5283…b53cbacked Petr Bar Biryukov4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Rio Noguchi63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.185568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Petr Bar Biryukov29c237.3$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.824,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Petr Bar Biryukov17c210$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.261,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Petr Bar Biryukov35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Petr Bar Biryukov37c177.7$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7533346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…a134backed Petr Bar Biryukov7c175.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Rio Noguchi75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Petr Bar Biryukov35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5046848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Petr Bar Biryukov22c141.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.144,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed Petr Bar Biryukov34c138.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Petr Bar Biryukov16c134.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8840548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Rio Noguchi78c119.71$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.236,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Petr Bar Biryukov18c107$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.269628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Rio Noguchi79c106.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.391,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Petr Bar Biryukov37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Rio Noguchi71c98.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7338262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Rio Noguchi64c92.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1924463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f10…0cb9backed Rio Noguchi76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.117263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.550351.5%259 W · 244 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Petr Bar Biryukov28c86.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Rio Noguchi75c84.15$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6656070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Petr Bar Biryukov18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2838741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Petr Bar Biryukov29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Rio Noguchi79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Rio Noguchi65c61.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8488560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd9…be3fbacked Rio Noguchi66c60.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c58.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Rio Noguchi63c55.71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6151347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Rio Noguchi77c54.56$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3732853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Rio Noguchi79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.633,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Petr Bar Biryukov35c48.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1564147.7%306 W · 335 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Petr Bar Biryukov37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545646.3%211 W · 245 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Petr Bar Biryukov35c40.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3726047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed Petr Bar Biryukov38c39.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.094327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Rio Noguchi78c39.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4974346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…dbcfbacked Rio Noguchi64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.065463%34 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fce…6476backed Petr Bar Biryukov38c37.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.157250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Rio Noguchi65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.91,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Petr Bar Biryukov36c33.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0250340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9966backed Rio Noguchi79c28.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.992030%6 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Petr Bar Biryukov35c28.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Petr Bar Biryukov38c26.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0790340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Rio Noguchi77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Rio Noguchi65c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4649955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Rio Noguchi79c18.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.784440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.