TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No50c21,775$10,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,825.4929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Yes51c19,988$10,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,794.233053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No49c7,716$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.058643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c7,483$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.352,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No1c7,390$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No51c4,853$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.032548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No49c4,821$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c3,205$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.921,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c3,143$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.283,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No35c2,902$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No52c2,733$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.146355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c2,313$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.058,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c1,609$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No35c1,606$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.081,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes49c1,539$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.885646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes57c1,327$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.753,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.2565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.2541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes50c1,147$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.273850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c1,118$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.375,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48523057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No14c853.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.463839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No5c841.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.642030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c781.82$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.772,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Yes49c493.13$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.612458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9220065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No35c398.75$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4548922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No15c313.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.051,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No33c303.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3784943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No23c255$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes47c249.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No13c227.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.351,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed Yes50c218.25$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.134242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes50c214.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3518828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No44c211.33$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.691,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes49c204.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.353844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes50c184.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No19c176.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0718338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x890d…e39cbacked Yes57c172.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No10c157.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.771020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes50c130.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.247758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No36c129.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8323044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes50c129$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed No36c110.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No35c103.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.174153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No12c103.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c101.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.761,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed No49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.47837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes50c97.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked No49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed No51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.534344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.981540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No26c65.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.064231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No49c60.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4514844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No19c58.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed No51c58.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c56.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No52c55.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.795949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes49c54.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad93…6bd3backed Yes50c53.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.681650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No36c51.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.955957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes72c48.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No54c46.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9918140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe280…ef5cbacked Yes50c44.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c40.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes44c39.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No51c39.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.416459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.438861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.936836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed No36c36.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No34c34.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes43c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No49c33.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5529053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed No52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed Yes50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b18…c32fbacked Yes50c25.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400c…0644backed Yes50c25.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.614100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+114.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes50c25.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6120142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9966backed Yes51c22.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…379fbacked Yes67c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c21.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No53c19.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes78c18.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes65c15.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.446756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes66c15.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2127133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.