TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes42c127,027$53,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,928.9818352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c23,194$13,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,642.518,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c21,399$12,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,660.135,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c19,762$11,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,275.663,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c18,031$10,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,327.722,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c5,533$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.7727855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c4,916$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.971,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c3,992$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.211,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c3,802$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.6665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No57c3,507$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No51c3,189$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.664852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c2,732$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.691,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c2,644$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.041,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed No58c2,574$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c2,031$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.251,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No59c1,877$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.2350746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Yes45c1,827$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Yes43c1,523$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.78875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No58c1,395$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed No57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No57c1,018$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58013257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No57c966.13$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54716653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No64c924$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.34966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Yes42c875.24$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed Yes12c707.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.831540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No62c530.4$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3910467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c528.64$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.772,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Yes22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.554242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c423.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f39…a17bbacked Yes12c415.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+748.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No33c365.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.031,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c348$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No64c336$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.841668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No6c318.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1744843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes30c308.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.017732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No66c302$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No64c292.19$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18711763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes13c286.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.046845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No57c285.63$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9812948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes47c255.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4710875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes40c240.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.081850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Yes43c231.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes35c227.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No60c219$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c219$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.831,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c219$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.831,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes43c216.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.275843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No76c194.9$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.123759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No63c194$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2213049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No66c176.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No58c175.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.998026.3%21 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes40c165$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c163.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.911,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Yes24c159.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.972450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+115.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No57c155.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.687748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked No59c150.53$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.84362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…acc5backed Yes13c143.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No59c140.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7173…7a4cbacked No59c138.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No62c125.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.468153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes44c124.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.044645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked No59c124.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.782254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.958149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c120.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No66c116.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.520958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No64c116.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.714969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21a4…0b9ebacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c110.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No59c108.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1347758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No59c108.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No58c102.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.261861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No56c96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7617255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.912133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No64c90.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.325764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed No60c88.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035f…6a38backed Yes23c83.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+339.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No63c81.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x240c…4c62backed No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes19c78.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.958540%34 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No67c74.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.537554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c8…b100backed Yes22c69.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+132.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.183545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…d892backed Yes34c67.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.651060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c67.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes15c67.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.061136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No54c61.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0129245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No62c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76b…94babacked Yes21c58.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+80.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7633…e5b7backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No50c54.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No58c52.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.687352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes44c52.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9966backed No59c51.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…67fdbacked No57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.