TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No36c8,688$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.7619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes51c7,403$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,631.775,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c7,362$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.772,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No40c5,484$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.69714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No53c3,239$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.9128651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes59c3,000$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes58c2,990$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.91366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No42c2,672$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.9142250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c2,409$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.698,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes50c2,400$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c2,084$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.481,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes57c1,883$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.0723549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes56c1,805$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.185164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c1,266$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.393,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No43c1,224$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes62c1,123$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.6621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c950.75$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes54c903.7$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes48c857$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6410667.9%72 W · 34 L+15.7wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes57c785.96$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed No42c743.68$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.119652.1%50 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No42c730.57$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.841,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No40c703.94$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c641.07$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes60c613.56$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.423554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes63c589.29$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.411,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes45c560.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.119349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes41c505$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.957047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7519963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes54c462.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.955143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No42c415$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.316558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No42c412.36$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.281,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes57c402$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16818543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No40c399.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9826749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…5d32backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No42c360$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.23652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No57c358.47$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4212434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No16c323.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3237540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes58c302.24$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No49c286.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.473444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.513831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Yes60c262$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No19c257$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.357328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No52c253.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.057248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No54c238.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.518660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No59c222.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4525866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c217.54$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No40c214.23$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.693560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No10c208$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No27c203$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No20c202.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.321,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c192.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed No47c189.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-60.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No41c167.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6641654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed No47c161.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Yes51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Yes55c142.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.063250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bf…a509backed Yes54c140.52$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.64785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+69.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No41c135.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3219630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes57c130.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Yes78c128.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c119.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1263657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes41c118.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.798146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No15c117.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6936339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes59c111.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5311551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No45c109.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yes51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes47c107.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes52c105.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.186230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c105$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.12,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes49c102.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+92.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.122347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4312348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c98.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes51c93.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes54c89.57$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9116864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No43c79.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.018955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes51c76.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7231355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No42c75.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5913050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes75c73.77$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.222937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes41c72.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.712378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+93%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes41c72.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.713372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+45.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked No57c70.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.931136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No45c69.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.452536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c69.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…01fdbacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.