MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33e7dc30a4e0cb388f6ec0ad0791ccedd38e1ee8b4d0eb170efc263316b007d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Athletics, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 48,974$24,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,013.09 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 20c | 34,257$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840.49 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 30,893$17,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,100.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 50c | 14,567$7,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 51c | 13,001$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,629.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 35c | 12,178$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 11,988$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.7 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 49c | 10,170$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.38 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 6,137$3,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.64 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 5,394$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.04 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Athletics | 36c | 5,086$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.39 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 9c | 4,326$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,777$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.79 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,700$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 47c | 3,554$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 2,752$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.29 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Athletics | 23c | 2,640$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,188$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…37b8backed Athletics | 50c | 2,142$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Athletics | 29c | 2,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.15 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Athletics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,989$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,756$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Athletics | 48c | 1,664$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,509$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 33c | 1,507$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.86 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,308$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.87 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 50c | 1,221$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.74 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,174$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 38c | 1,170$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.45 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.11 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,002$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.19 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Athletics | 36c | 931.47$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Athletics | 42c | 894.37$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 892.24$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Athletics | 38c | 869.12$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.69 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 847$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Athletics | 61c | 770.49$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Athletics | 35c | 756.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 50c | 747.89$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Athletics | 33c | 714.37$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 696.05$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Athletics | 46c | 685$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 585$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 42c | 501.88$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 497.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.01 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Athletics | 51c | 480$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 474.05$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 454.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Athletics | 49c | 416$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Athletics | 51c | 413.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Athletics | 22c | 397.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 353.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Athletics | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Athletics | 55c | 341.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 333.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Athletics | 44c | 329.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 309.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 303.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Athletics | 32c | 256.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Athletics | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 229.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Athletics | 52c | 222.19$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 221.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116e…25fcbacked Athletics | 63c | 196.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 26c | 186$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 181$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Athletics | 48c | 173.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 167.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Athletics | 48c | 162.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Athletics | 28c | 158.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 49c | 154.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Athletics | 29c | 152.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Athletics | 38c | 138.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 137.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 49c | 137$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 9c | 136.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed Athletics | 51c | 132.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Athletics | 18c | 131.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Athletics | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Athletics | 59c | 130$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.