TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,029 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No46c12,400$5,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,638.527549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes50c11,775$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.4598945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,431$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.361,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No42c4,773$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.721752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c4,667$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.553040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Yes57c4,518$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+81.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…1c89backed Yes69c3,569$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c3,130$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.723858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes55c3,051$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c2,838$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.3499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes50c2,266$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.116732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No31c2,238$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.297974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No70c1,816$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No71c1,485$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.467726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes51c1,430$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No71c1,200$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3488547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No43c1,124$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+116.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes31c1,067$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.77728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Yes29c1,035$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x620f…4288backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c921.41$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.5553046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes30c716.67$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes30c618.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2818651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes29c617.05$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.944141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Yes51c590.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No48c575.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3645140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc199…a956backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067e…0d0bbacked Yes61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c465.55$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes20c434.78$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.162343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c430.22$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0610644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No41c392$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2827058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Yes54c387.39$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.841060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No70c358.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1815748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes38c351.92$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No43c335.75$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No48c333.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9954949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005028%14 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes32c314.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7714129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No55c296.4$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No60c293.85$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.27953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes31c231.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.341323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No48c226.07$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes19c222.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+95.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No68c194.59$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.253,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes8c194.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No70c187.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.119848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes57c172.5$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c165$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.191,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c150$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c146.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.571,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No40c142$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No69c139.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5744350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No70c126.28$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6619052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f6…6594backed Yes65c121.4$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes32c120.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.532445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c116.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No69c114$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4178…defabacked No71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237a…7810backed Yes17c110.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No67c105.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6926150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes58c103.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No47c99.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.823171%22 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No69c99.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7910755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No71c97.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.429457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No78c92.01$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes46c84.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes51c80.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4425934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c78.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c62.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5418655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No49c59.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1912346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c58.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes62c56.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick70cpaid-44.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0593…5118backed Yes29c51.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes22c50.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.265259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.93452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No40c49.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No46c49.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982572%18 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No46c49.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.982470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No64c49.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7636051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes31c48.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.913259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes30c47.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No72c47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.169965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e93…be55backed Yes31c46.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc9…264abacked Yes50c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e64…9987backed Yes28c37.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes49c37.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2720849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.