TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes47c121,334$56,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,813.5715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes46c85,459$39,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,037.799649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No54c65,404$35,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,234.3213553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No53c32,664$17,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,259.219560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No53c32,348$17,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,125.788563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c9,570$5,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,408.3877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c7,401$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.461,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c5,677$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.333,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c5,299$3,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.498945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No54c4,104$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.5241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,828$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.3597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c2,900$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36311854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes46c2,611$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.0118651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No54c2,607$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.8315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No55c2,501$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.557726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No54c2,476$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.931421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c2,223$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.2253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No54c2,198$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.151060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No80c2,118$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9404100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No54c1,188$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4253040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No54c1,181$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.069854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes14c1,157$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6513518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7310450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed No56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Yes46c999.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.982540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c990.2$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No56c947.48$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.892060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No53c754.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7112146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No57c742.85$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1412343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No54c666.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.679052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No54c633.74$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.522254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No80c627.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7112751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No54c619$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.221,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c557$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes16c533.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1129370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No74c406.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No54c371.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes26c362.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c361$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.512661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No54c343.77$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.134959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13515858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c260.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c253$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.741,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c243$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c231$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c231$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No54c227.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.59268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No54c212.93$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.951181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No54c199.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9310960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No55c196.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.314151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No56c196$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7411055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No54c188.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.234250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.516960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c149.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9935149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No55c143.16$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9313560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes19c135.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes22c128.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5520849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes18c123.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4826150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.215259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes27c119.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1616657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No54c115.17$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9810755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c106.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c104.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes18c103.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.414050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No55c98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9815…d785backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c95.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed No55c91.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No54c89.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.946732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No54c62.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.855257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes30c62.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.037953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.