Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe18ac97fd40ec3e70bc961c574a4ac65997edadc906a428bb5812c277d2aef44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,799.97 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 10,062$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.44 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 8,106$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.06 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 4,977$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 4,611$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 66c | 4,375$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.73 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 4,143$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 7c | 4,019$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 1c | 3,739$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 3,693$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.59 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 65c | 2,971$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.48 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 23c | 2,416$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.4 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 2,208$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 8c | 2,104$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.19 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,956$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.88 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 36c | 1,573$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.57 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…a5efbacked Yes | 32c | 1,539$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 35c | 1,530$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.02 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 1,522$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.88 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 67c | 1,492$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 31c | 1,426$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.34 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 1,400$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.02 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 64c | 1,368$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,339$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 1,276$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.36 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 33c | 1,249$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.21 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 1,217$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 1,203$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.73 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 72c | 1,186$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 6c | 1,071$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 9c | 1,028$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 1,018$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.73 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 982.69$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 78c | 695.56$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 14c | 667.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 15c | 652.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 64c | 650$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked No | 16c | 628.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 6c | 579.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 563.2$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.98 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 64c | 546.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 34c | 498.8$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.21 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 51c | 490.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.74 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed No | 2c | 459.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 36c | 450$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 3c | 432.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 64c | 400.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 398.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 3c | 383.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…735cbacked No | 68c | 372$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 65c | 344.86$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Yes | 36c | 332.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed No | 15c | 313.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 33c | 306.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.12 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 73c | 306.14$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 25c | 298.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 7c | 270.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed No | 15c | 261$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 17c | 258.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked No | 9c | 235.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 234.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 223.18$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 67c | 214$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked No | 16c | 212.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 64c | 208.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 46c | 197.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed No | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…cd9ebacked Yes | 36c | 178.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed No | 74c | 175.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 65c | 157.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed No | 17c | 152.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 29c | 142.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed No | 17c | 116.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 35c | 114.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 66c | 105.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.