Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c4623167a60f6d8990819c3917199c3521dca99ff783a15806989a71d9fe66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $632,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa136…97debacked Yes | 43c | 262,031$112,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,364.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 156,842$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 58c | 48,435$27,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,536.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 57c | 35,550$20,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,286.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.99 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes | 42c | 27,105$11,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,384.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 24,546$15,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 20,960$11,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,024.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 57c | 17,632$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 58c | 17,600$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 16,312$9,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.33 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 34c | 7,988$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.84 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 40c | 7,350$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 43c | 5,953$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 57c | 5,802$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 58c | 5,507$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 58c | 5,480$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.6 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 73c | 5,422$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 4,633$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.89 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 40c | 2,681$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.11 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 57c | 2,592$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 2,570$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.84 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 1c | 2,499$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 2,365$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.83 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,179$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 2,071$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.55 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 2,063$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 60c | 1,587$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 1,583$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 36c | 1,411$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 57c | 1,170$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 43c | 1,097$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.24 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed No | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 930.08$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 920.44$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.28 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 44c | 820$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 740.96$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 57c | 736$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 57c | 650$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 41c | 528.21$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 480$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 58c | 470$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 406.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 59c | 399.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 39c | 364.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 57c | 355.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 57c | 303.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 57c | 280$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Yes | 44c | 258.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 39c | 246.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 41c | 244.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 220.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 65c | 203$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Yes | 43c | 197.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 174$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 151.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 62c | 138.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 43c | 135.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 60c | 133.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 60c | 132.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 39c | 128.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.