Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cde138c1476f6492cef194d2cda4c06e9f92ca009267a5f53d38d7dede9c950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 4,361$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.22 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 58c | 2,920$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.64 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 77c | 1,586$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.69 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 23c | 543.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 465.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 424.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 78c | 367.54$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 43c | 298.48$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…ffeebacked Yes | 30c | 284.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 224.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 12c | 187.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 177.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…ae57backed Yes | 16c | 147.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 142.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 73c | 137.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 135$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 132.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 55c | 124.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Yes | 15c | 121.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 19c | 121.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 36c | 119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 107.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 16c | 98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 75c | 71.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 68c | 68.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 66.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 64.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 17c | 64.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked No | 51c | 63.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 56c | 63.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 60.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 22c | 56.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…84a0backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 50.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 50.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 54c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.