TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb2d9…26a2backed Yes61c8,123$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,933.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No61c7,880$4,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.151560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c6,837$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.572,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No43c4,022$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c3,510$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.692,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No63c2,245$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.411190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c1,893$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.9766047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes49c1,648$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c1,470$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.797,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No39c1,269$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes56c1,093$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes57c1,061$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No40c875.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.231,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No43c785.47$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.9792043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c733$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.512,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes59c677.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9918344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No43c567.71$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.131,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c559.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.2685250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes42c553.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes37c550$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c531.14$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.835,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No39c518.95$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5677350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes56c516.07$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023546.8%110 W · 125 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No40c492.57$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.647162%44 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes58c479.97$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1691148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Yes56c476.21$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes60c461.67$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27726549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes60c444$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c411.28$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.91,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes19c391.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.321931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Yes18c333.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes61c325.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes61c272.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3194043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No54c271.61$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.443652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes10c249.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513036.9%48 W · 82 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes60c232.45$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4710248%49 W · 53 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes61c218$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes54c199.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.994663%29 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes60c198.31$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9811657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes62c193.55$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203941%16 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No40c191.68$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9930646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes59c190.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.12520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes53c185.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes14c179.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes59c170.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Yes60c169.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013251.5%68 W · 64 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c160.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.471,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes19c152.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0958320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c150.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.951,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes57c148.47$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+253.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bb…1da6backed Yes31c145.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes21c143.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8423747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes52c140.91$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes61c139.34$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa2…ba3ebacked Yes62c129.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed No39c128.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.971573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed No40c125.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No40c123.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.532634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Yes36c122.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7228446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes61c119.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9114949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9b…9c7cbacked Yes60c111.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.52948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes37c108.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9935154.7%192 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes63c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014332.2%46 W · 97 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406238.7%24 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Yes57c89.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Yes57c85.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0690…8821backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c81.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…d0d5backed Yes12c80.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes43c79.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes53c78.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes51c72.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8567348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453250%16 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No41c70.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.714548.9%22 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4009…f2b4backed Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Yes43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No68c64.86$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5717149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes62c64.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes49c62.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1498653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.