Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fef5998e8a3326b33467a5c8ffe6fbaf88718fa87f50398e43ca6528439a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 9,401$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,990.69 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,093$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.1 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 15c | 650$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 18c | 641.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 405.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.03 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 69c | 300.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 214.1$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 201.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 171.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 11c | 165.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 157.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 37c | 156.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Yes | 16c | 156.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 71c | 135.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 132.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 19c | 109.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 27c | 98.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 93.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 77c | 82.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 69.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 22c | 63.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…47bebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…fc5bbacked Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 54.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 30c | 50.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 70c | 24.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.