MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5610073602637ea8acdb6d26a93769d8966f1d98ef92a6469efad99402d6ad2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 25,862$14,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,637.93 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 24,974$11,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,148.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 16,341$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 16,255$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.74 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 14,656$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 13,689$7,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,274.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,211$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.74 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 5,204$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.39 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 5,017$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 4,469$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.39 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 4,178$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.18 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…162fbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,635$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.49 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,505$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.08 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 3,449$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Washington Nationals | 29c | 3,407$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,351$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 3,113$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.69 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,031$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,031$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.15 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,837$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,432$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.17 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,303$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.26 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,010$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,930$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 23c | 1,811$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,529$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,437$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,394$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.54 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 1,375$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 1,315$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,271$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.16 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 1,248$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,215$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.77 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,102$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,033$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.04 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 1,011$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.41 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,000$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.83 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 848.73$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.93 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 75c | 817.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 813.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 784.6$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Miami Marlins | 77c | 778.55$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 27c | 732.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 730.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 678.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.78 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 670.52$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 668.45$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.45 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 641.16$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 596$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 518.17$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 495$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 489.54$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 480.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 473.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 465.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 443.07$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 433$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 433$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 416.1$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 386.79$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 337.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 317.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 314.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 284.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 283$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 280.3$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Miami Marlins | 71c | 280.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Washington Nationals | 16c | 273.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 251.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 251$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 250.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 242$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 239.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 238.64$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 216.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 214.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 204.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 198.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 194.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 194$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.