MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b994189d231b85a620edee7d8152f7f6de3e3c2e1884682dbea09ee9acae9d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $491,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 52,837$19,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,405.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 50,541$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,800 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 42,412$33,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,274.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 40,338$19,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,344.8 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 36,576$23,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,043.11 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 13,803$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.53 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 13,219$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.57 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 13,129$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,040.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 12,014$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.42 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 10,065$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 9,675$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,096.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 7,224$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 6,832$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.88 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 5,806$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 4,887$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.46 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,640$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,392$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.73 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 4,016$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.23 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 3,845$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 3,320$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 3,261$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 3,042$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.37 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 3,003$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.54 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,987$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 2,612$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,557$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.66 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…c839backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,052$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 2,036$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.95 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,968$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,927$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.3 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,807$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.71 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.89 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 1,778$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.51 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,716$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,692$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.46 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,682$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.69 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,617$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.76 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,600$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,504$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.17 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,451$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.74 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,400$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 1,262$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,200$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.38 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,160$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.38 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,154$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 21c | 1,119$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.85 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,106$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.24 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,019$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.48 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…4e82backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.09 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 958.96$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 946.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.99 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 900$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 866.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.45 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 779.41$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 770.66$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 760.17$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 752.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 700.43$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 695.4$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 610$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 609.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 573.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.47 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 567.91$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 563.34$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 560.4$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 558.51$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.01 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 548.74$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 526$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.78 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Minnesota Twins | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 490.9$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 448.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 445.77$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 430$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 423.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 416.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.84 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 395.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 395.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.01 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 391.27$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 387.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…047ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 372.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 371.41$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.